The Bitcoin Cycle—is it unique?


Like all virtual currencies, BTC is not a stable value store. Its price fluctuations make it unsuitable as a medium of exchange, and its high transaction costs mean that it is not a suitable candidate for the digital payment system of the future either.

It implies that BTC has almost no use cases as a currency. Invest right now via the software.

Instead, BTC’s value lies in its ability to operate as an asset. BTC allows customers to keep their money and see it rise as time passes. It doesn’t imply that BTC is risk-free without drawbacks, though.

What is the BTC Cycle?

Cycles are periods of increased and decreased volatility in price. BTC is subject to several of these price cycles yearly, resulting in a price chart that looks like a roller coaster. Cycles in BTC prices have many different causes.

Some of these cycles are predictable, but others are caused by sudden, unpredictable changes in sentiment about cryptocurrencies. Processes with clear reasons are easier to navigate, but unpredictable cycles make it hard to time your investments effectively.

Why Does BTC Exhibit Cycles?

Cycles in BTC price occur because the BTC supply is limited, but demand is not. BTC, through mining, is used to secure the network and confirm transactions. A finite number of BTCs can be mined, and there is a limited amount of time during which users can mine BTC. The BTC protocol limits the number of new coins users can mine annually to about one-twelfth of the total supply.

It means that miners have to wait roughly one year between each time they receive new coins from the BTC network. This predictable drop in price can lead to cycles in BTC price when demand increases and decreases. For example, if demand for BTC drops significantly, the cost of coins will become cheaper. If demand increases after that, the price will go up again, causing a cycle.

The Rise and Fall of BTC Price

Many factors can cause the Price of BTC to rise and fall. However, one cause worth particular attention is the supply of BTC. The BTC protocol dictates that the number of BTCs mined daily will be cut in half every few years until all 21 million have been. When the supply is high, the price is low, and vice versa.

Cycles in BTC price can also lead to external factors, such as regulatory changes or mainstream media coverage. For example, the financial crisis of 2018 caused many people to lose confidence in traditional economic systems, including banks. It increased the demand for cryptocurrencies, which drove the Price of BTC up from $3,200 in February to $20,000 in December. However, this surge in demand pushed the BTC network to its limits. As a result, BTC transaction times slowed, and transaction fees rose. It, in turn, caused interest in cryptocurrencies to decline, and BTC’s Price fell back to $3,500 by February of 2019.

The Problem with BTC’s Merged Mining

One of the most significant causes of cycles in BTC price is the process of “merged mining.” Merged mining is an alternative to the standard proof-of-work system used to mine new BTCs. Instead of generating new coins, the converged mining system secures other cryptocurrencies, such as Litecoin and Dogecoin, by linking them to the BTC network. The original intent behind merged mining was to expand the use cases for BTC by leveraging its network to help secure other coins. However, it has the opposite effect.

The number of cash generated by merged mining is a small percentage of the total supply of available BTC. Therefore, when the Price of BTC rises, the price of other cryptocurrencies linked to BTC through merged mining falls. This effect is that merged mining reduces the number of people willing to invest in other cryptocurrencies.

The Blockchain Shake-Up: Will it Stabilize price?

This shift stabilized the price of BTC, making it a more attractive investment. However, this transition may also cause a dramatic drop in the Price of BTC by as much as 50%. The Pow system rewards miners with new coins and many transaction fees.

However, the PoS system will not reward investors at all. PoS to stabilize the Price of BTC through two mechanisms. First, PoS will reduce the number of coins in circulation by preventing new coins from mining. It means that cash will be scarcer, pushing up their price.

Bottom line

Cycles in BTC price are a natural part of its operation as a cryptocurrency. The worth rises as more people use the network, generating more transactions and currency demand. The number of available coins will gradually decrease as more of them are mined and claimed by miners. Unfortunately, certain factors that affect BTC price fluctuations are more straightforward to forecast than most.



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