Labour could face tough General Election in Warrington

IT could be a tough time for Labour in Warrington according to a poll by popular polling website Calculus.

Current polling predictions based on opinion polls from November 1 to November 9, sampling 8,210 people, indicate Labour’s Faisal Rashid will lose out to Conservative Andy Carter in the South, while Charlotte Nichols, could see a majority of over 9,500 won by Helen Jones in the North in 2017, cut to around 1,000.

The poll also predicts a big increase in the Lib Dem vote.

Of course opinion polls have been proven to be wide of the mark in the past with a month to go to polling day.

The current polling predictions suggest the Conservatives will win the General Election with a majority of 114. But a month is a long time in politics.

For more details visit https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Warrington South

This table shows the predicted general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Warrington South.

Warrington South			Predicted Results
District	Ward	Electorate 2017	CON Votes	LAB Votes	LIB Votes	Brexit Votes	Green Votes	UKIP Votes	MIN Votes	OTH Votes	Total Votes
Warrington	Appleton	8,515	3,110	1,725	1,150	472	0	23	0	57	6,537
Warrington	Bewsey and Whitecross	9,890	2,129	3,424	742	626	0	50	0	83	7,054
Warrington	Grappenhall and Thelwall	7,736	2,598	1,700	996	447	0	25	0	58	5,824
Warrington	Great Sankey North	5,122	1,535	1,327	555	331	0	19	0	37	3,804
Warrington	Great Sankey South	8,483	2,334	2,388	776	571	0	45	0	85	6,199
Warrington	Hatton, Stretton and Walton	2,482	925	474	327	136	0	7	0	16	1,885
Warrington	Latchford East	6,517	1,451	2,198	496	434	0	34	0	56	4,669
Warrington	Latchford West	5,424	1,464	1,556	455	382	0	27	0	52	3,936
Warrington	Lymm	9,897	3,408	2,097	1,321	544	0	30	0	73	7,473
Warrington	Penketh and Cuerdley	6,798	2,092	1,786	645	456	0	26	0	49	5,054
Warrington	Stockton Heath	5,142	1,732	1,115	691	270	0	15	0	37	3,860
Warrington	Whittle Hall	9,749	2,756	2,671	1,157	511	0	35	0	82	7,212
	Total	85,755	25,534	22,461	9,311	5,180	0	336	0	685	63,507

Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward. The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2015, to match those used by the Boundary Commissions.

Predicted ward-by-ward votes for Warrington North

This table shows the predicted general election result broken down over each ward in the seat of Warrington North.

Warrington North			Predicted Results
District	Ward	Electorate 2017	CON Votes	LAB Votes	LIB Votes	Brexit Votes	Green Votes	UKIP Votes	MIN Votes	OTH Votes	Total Votes
Warrington	Birchwood	8,095	2,120	2,122	636	552	171	37	0	38	5,676
Warrington	Burtonwood and Winwick	4,809	1,362	1,256	366	323	71	17	0	23	3,418
Warrington	Culcheth, Glazebury and Croft	8,839	2,889	1,989	818	550	132	26	0	38	6,442
Warrington	Fairfield and Howley	9,809	2,114	3,016	570	681	212	52	0	50	6,695
Warrington	Orford	8,103	1,779	2,475	463	630	130	45	0	41	5,563
Warrington	Poplars and Hulme	7,963	1,715	2,474	431	616	132	45	0	41	5,454
Warrington	Poulton North	7,737	1,869	2,224	539	576	136	38	0	37	5,419
Warrington	Poulton South	4,901	1,409	1,215	324	397	68	23	0	22	3,458
Warrington	Rixton and Woolston	6,896	2,043	1,669	484	534	100	30	0	29	4,889
Warrington	Westbrook	4,864	1,401	1,181	409	337	81	20	0	20	3,449
	Total	72,016	18,701	19,621	5,040	5,196	1,233	333	0	339	50,463

3 Comments

PJ on 13th November 2019 10:37 am 10:37 am

What seems clear from this poll is that the Lib Dems cannot win or even come close so a vote for them is a wasted vote.

Jackie Leotardi on 13th November 2019 6:09 pm 6:09 pm

Have the Labour candidates Faisal Rashid declared yet that they will campaign for REMUNERATION if Labour win & there is a second referendum?

- Graham on 13th November 2019 7:53 pm 7:53 pm
  
  In English this time Jackie! Come on, is this the best the Russian troll factories can do!?